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All articles →Analysis · October 5, 2026
Week 5 in Review: Big Games and Upsets
Northwestern's 34-13 dismantling of Penn State stands as Week 5's most consequential result, not because the Wildcats were long shots — they entered with a 25% pregame win probability — but because a team projected to lose by three…
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Article · October 5, 2026
San José State: 2026 Week 7 recap
San José State sits at 3–2 after a road win over Hawai'i in Week 5, but GIE's rating hasn't budged—they remain at –15.1, ranked 119th. The Spartans are treading water: their third-down conversion rate of 41% and a red-zone TD rate of just…
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Article · October 5, 2026
San Diego State: 2026 Week 7 recap
San Diego State sits at a 2–3 record with a rating of –7.8, holding rank 100 overall—a standing that hasn't budged since last week despite the Aztecs' narrow 31–29 home win over Texas State in Week 5. The victory showcased late-game…
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Article · October 5, 2026
Sam Houston: 2026 Week 7 recap
Sam Houston sits at 1–3 with a rating of –14.1, ranked 117th by GIE, and hasn't moved in the model's assessment over the past week. The Bearkats' most recent outing—a 49–14 road loss to Texas Tech in Week 4—underscored a troubling…
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Article · October 5, 2026
Sacramento State: 2026 Week 7 recap
Sacramento State sits at 1–4 with a rating of –22.9, unchanged from last week despite the bye. The Hornets' most recent contest was a lopsided loss to Massachusetts (35–6 in Week 4), a result that underscores deeper offensive…
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Top 25
Full rankings →As of 2026 Week 7 · ▲▼ vs. last week
- 1–+9
AlabamaSEC · 5-01795
Rating
- 2–1-10
MiamiACC · 5-01793
Rating
- 3▲11-15
Notre DameFBS Independents · 5-01762
Rating
- 4▲31-21
GeorgiaSEC · 5-01751
Rating
- 5▲62-24
Ohio StateBig Ten · 4-11739
Rating
- 6▲62-26
IndianaBig Ten · 5-01736
Rating
- 7▲92-27
NebraskaBig Ten · 5-01732
Rating
- 8▲113-24
James MadisonY1 HCSun Belt · 5-01727
Rating
- 9▲153-30
UCLAY1 HCBig Ten · 4-01716
Rating
- 10▲153-32
MissouriSEC · 4-11715
Rating
- 11▲154-29
Texas TechBig 12 · 5-01715
Rating
- 12▲153-31
UtahY1 HCBig 12 · 4-01715
Rating
- 13▲163-33
BYUBig 12 · 4-01710
Rating
- 14▲256-37
BaylorBig 12 · 4-11698
Rating
- 15▲256-34
Boise StatePac-12 · 4-11698
Rating
- 16▲267-35
North Dakota StateY1 HCMountain West · 5-01693
Rating
- 17▲326-43
TexasSEC · 4-01685
Rating
- 18▲337-42
PittsburghACC · 5-01680
Rating
- 19▲407-46
TennesseeSEC · 4-11676
Rating
- 20▲417-45
HoustonY2 HCBig 12 · 4-11675
Rating
- 21▲429-45
ArizonaBig 12 · 4-11674
Rating
- 22▲529-52
LSUY1 HCSEC · 4-11667
Rating
- 23▲529-46
Fresno StateY2 HCPac-12 · 4-11665
Rating
- 24▲5712-51
Virginia TechY1 HCACC · 4-11659
Rating
- 25▲6112-53
NorthwesternBig Ten · 3-11651
Rating
Underdog Watch
2026 Week 6Games where GIE thinks the underdog has a real, non-coin-flip path. Win probability shown is for the underdog. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
