Tennessee
Volunteers · SEC
- GIE rank
- #9
- of 138 FBS
- Rating
- 1769
- 2026 Week 12
- Record
- 7-2
- 2026 season
- Proj record
- 9-3
- 12-game season
Head coach Josh Heupel Year 6 with Tennessee
Season projection
- Expected wins
- 9.2
- 2.2 more wins in 3 left
- Win range (90%)
- 8 to 10
- Final rank (90%)
- #10 (5–19)
- Make playoff
- 80%
- Win conference
- 2%
Path to glory
Their playoff probability after a win or a loss in each pivotal game. (Interactive toggles coming once the scenario sim finishes for this team.)
| Game | Win | Loss | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| at Texas A&M | 92% | 2% | +90pp |
| vs LSU | 91% | 2% | +89pp |
Schedule
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Sep 5 | vs Furman Non-FBS | Win, 56-9 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 12 | at Georgia Tech ACC | Win, 45-24 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 19 | vs Kennesaw State Conference USA | Win, 42-9 Final |
| Wk 4 Sep 26 | vs Texas SEC | Loss, 17-20 Final |
| Wk 5 Oct 3 | vs Auburn SEC | Win, 24-14 Final |
| Wk 6 Oct 10 | at Arkansas SEC | Win, 24-17 Final |
| Wk 7 Oct 17 | vs Alabama SEC | Win, 26-10 Final |
| Wk 8 Oct 24 | at South Carolina SEC | Loss, 24-27 Final |
| Wk 9 | Bye | |
| Wk 10 Nov 7 | vs Kentucky SEC | Win, 34-6 Final |
| Wk 11 Nov 14 | at Texas A&M SEC | |
| Wk 12 Nov 21 | vs LSU SEC | |
| Wk 13 Nov 28 | at Vanderbilt SEC | |
In the news
- Tennessee opens as slight road favorite at Texas A&M (opens in a new tab)
- Greg McElroy reveals pick for Kentucky-Tennessee clash (opens in a new tab)
- Tennessee listed as solid favorite for home clash with Kentucky in Week 10 (opens in a new tab)
- How to Watch No. 6 Alabama at No. 14 Tennessee (opens in a new tab)
- Former Tennessee running back will face Vols with Alabama (opens in a new tab)
- Alabama opens as significant road favorite at Tennessee in Week 7 (opens in a new tab)
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
Returning production · 2026
42 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
Portal additions · 2026
+0.7 rating
21 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Amare CampbellLB From Penn State | Penn State | 152 |
| DJ BurksDB From App State | App State | 121 |
| Qua MossDB From Kansas State | Kansas State | 121 |
| Jordan NormanDL From Tulane | Tulane | 114 |
| TJ MetcalfDB From Michigan | Michigan | 107 |
| Javin GordonRB From Tulane | Tulane | 85 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Situational efficiency · 2025
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.