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2026 Week 8 · Conference game

Tennessee at South Carolina

Friday, October 23, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT

Williams-Brice Stadium

Tennessee
SEC
Record
0-0
Rating
15.0
National rank
19
Proj. wins
7.3
Playoff prob.
10%
South Carolina
SEC
Record
0-0
Rating
5.9
National rank
49
Proj. wins
5.6
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Tennessee
71%
South Carolina
29%
South Carolina 90% CI: 22% – 37% Δ rating 9.1

Tennessee is the model's favorite at 71%. South Carolina has a 29% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.9 rating points baked in for South Carolina — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Tennessee offense
35 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

South Carolina offense
40 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, October 23, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Williams-Brice Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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