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This week in college football

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Analysis

Week 10 in Review: Big Games and Upsets

Oregon arrived in Columbus with a 13% pregame win probability and left with a 41-28 victory that will ripple through selection…

Oregon arrived in Columbus with a 13% pregame win probability and left with a 41-28 victory that will ripple through selection committee deliberations for the next five weeks. The margin—13 points over a program that…

Oregon arrived in Columbus with a 13% pregame win probability and left with a 41-28 victory that will ripple through selection committee deliberations for the next five weeks. The margin—13 points over a program that entered the week as a…

Top 25

Full rankings

Ratings as of 2026 Week 12

GIE Top 25
Rank Team Conf W-L Rating Final-rank range
1 Utah Head coach tenure: Y1 HC Big 12 Final-rank range 1–5 Head coach tenure: Y1 HC Big 12 9-0 1854 Final-rank range 1 to 5, currently 1
2 Georgia SEC Final-rank range 1–6 SEC 8-1 1844 Final-rank range 1 to 6, currently 2
3 UCLA Head coach tenure: Y1 HC Big Ten Final-rank range 1–9 Head coach tenure: Y1 HC Big Ten 9-0 1820 Final-rank range 1 to 9, currently 3
4 Notre Dame Ind. Final-rank range 2–9 FBS Independents 8-1 1814 Final-rank range 2 to 9, currently 4
5 Alabama SEC Final-rank range 3–11 SEC 7-2 1800 Final-rank range 3 to 11, currently 5
6 Miami ACC Final-rank range 3–13 ACC 8-1 1797 Final-rank range 3 to 13, currently 6
7 Boise State Pac-12 Final-rank range 5–11 Pac-12 8-1 1789 Final-rank range 5 to 11, currently 7
8 Indiana Big Ten Final-rank range 5–16 Big Ten 8-1 1777 Final-rank range 5 to 16, currently 8
9 Tennessee SEC Final-rank range 5–19 SEC 7-2 1769 Final-rank range 5 to 19, currently 9
10 Wake Forest Head coach tenure: Y2 HC ACC Final-rank range 6–20 Head coach tenure: Y2 HC ACC 8-1 1763 Final-rank range 6 to 20, currently 10
11 Texas SEC Final-rank range 7–20 SEC 7-2 1759 Final-rank range 7 to 20, currently 11
12 Iowa Big Ten Final-rank range 8–22 Big Ten 7-2 1746 Final-rank range 8 to 22, currently 12
13 New Mexico Head coach tenure: Y2 HC MWC Final-rank range 8–22 Head coach tenure: Y2 HC Mountain West 8-1 1746 Final-rank range 8 to 22, currently 13
14 Liberty CUSA Final-rank range 11–22 Conference USA 8-1 1739 Final-rank range 11 to 22, currently 14
15 Houston Head coach tenure: Y2 HC Big 12 Final-rank range 8–26 Head coach tenure: Y2 HC Big 12 7-2 1735 Final-rank range 8 to 26, currently 15
16 Texas Tech Big 12 Final-rank range 10–29 Big 12 8-1 1726 Final-rank range 10 to 29, currently 16
17 James Madison Head coach tenure: Y1 HC Sun Belt Final-rank range 14–26 Head coach tenure: Y1 HC Sun Belt 8-2 1719 Final-rank range 14 to 26, currently 17
18 Duke ACC Final-rank range 11–33 ACC 7-2 1718 Final-rank range 11 to 33, currently 18
19 Baylor Big 12 Final-rank range 12–34 Big 12 6-3 1711 Final-rank range 12 to 34, currently 19
20 Louisville ACC Final-rank range 13–35 ACC 6-3 1711 Final-rank range 13 to 35, currently 20
21 South Carolina SEC Final-rank range 12–37 SEC 6-3 1710 Final-rank range 12 to 37, currently 21
22 Arizona Big 12 Final-rank range 13–30 Big 12 7-2 1709 Final-rank range 13 to 30, currently 22
23 Oregon Big Ten Final-rank range 15–35 Big Ten 6-3 1701 Final-rank range 15 to 35, currently 23
24 Oklahoma State Head coach tenure: Y1 HC Big 12 Final-rank range 17–36 Head coach tenure: Y1 HC Big 12 6-3 1694 Final-rank range 17 to 36, currently 24
25 BYU Big 12 Final-rank range 16–38 Big 12 7-2 1693 Final-rank range 16 to 38, currently 25
See all 134 FBS teams

No rank changes from last week.

Underdog Watch

Games of Nov 14 · 2026 Week 11

Games where GIE thinks the underdog has a real, non-coin-flip path. Win probability shown is for the underdog. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Underdog Watch games
Matchup Underdog win probability
Washington State vs Colorado State Pac-12 at home Nov 14 Win probability for Washington State: 47%
UAB vs Temple American Athletic on the road Nov 14 Win probability for UAB: 47%
San Diego State vs Utah State Pac-12 at home Nov 14 Win probability for San Diego State: 46%
UTSA vs North Texas American Athletic at home Nov 14 Win probability for UTSA: 46%
Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina Sun Belt on the road Nov 14 Win probability for Arkansas State: 46%