Lobos · Mountain West
Head coach Jason Eck Year 2 with New Mexico
Year-2 HCs (2015-2024) averaged +0.09 W vs. preseason expectation
Their playoff probability after a win or a loss in each pivotal game. (Interactive toggles coming once the scenario sim finishes for this team.)
| Game | Win | Loss | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| at Wyoming | 68% | 0% | +68pp |
| vs Air Force | 59% | 0% | +59pp |
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Sep 6 | vs Central Michigan Mid-American | Win, 38-7 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 12 | vs Mercyhurst Non-FBS | Win, 70-7 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 19 | at Oklahoma SEC | Loss, 6-14 Final |
| Wk 4 Sep 26 | at New Mexico State Conference USA | Win, 42-18 Final |
| Wk 5 Oct 3 | vs UTEP Mountain West | Win, 61-7 Final |
| Wk 6 | Bye | |
| Wk 7 Oct 18 | at Hawai'i Mountain West | Win, 21-10 Final |
| Wk 8 Oct 25 | vs North Dakota State Mountain West | Win, 21-16 Final |
| Wk 9 Oct 31 | at San José State Mountain West | Win, 21-16 Final |
| Wk 10 Nov 7 | at Nevada Mountain West | Win, 31-3 Final |
| Wk 11 Nov 15 | vs UNLV Mountain West | |
| Wk 12 Nov 21 | at Wyoming Mountain West | |
| Wk 13 Nov 27 | vs Air Force Mountain West | |
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
59 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
−0.7 rating
21 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Troy OmeireWR From UNLV | UNLV | 95 |
| Eric McClainCB From Ball State | Ball State | 71 |
| Miles WilliamsWR From Eastern Washington | Eastern Washington | 48 |
| Kiefer SibleyRB From North Texas | North Texas | 43 |
| Ormanie ArnoldCB From Cincinnati | Cincinnati | 26 |
| Kevin LongstreetS From USC | USC | 22 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.
