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2026 Week 1 FINAL

Central Michigan at New Mexico

Sunday, September 6, 2026 · 2:00 AM UTC

University Stadium (NM)

7
Central Michigan
Final
38
New Mexico
Team 1234 T
Central Michigan 0007 7
New Mexico 713153 38

GIE pre-game call: New Mexico at 94%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Central Michigan
Mid-American
Record
2-1
Rating
-14.9
National rank
116
Proj. wins
6.9
Playoff prob.
0%
New Mexico
Mountain West
Record
2-1
Rating
4.8
National rank
58
Proj. wins
7.2
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Central Michigan
6%
New Mexico
94%
New Mexico 90% CI: 91% – 96% Δ rating 19.7

New Mexico is the model's favorite at 94%. Central Michigan has a 6% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.2 rating points baked in for New Mexico — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Sunday, September 6, 2026 · 2:00 AM UTC
Venue
University Stadium (NM)
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
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