2026 Week 13 · Conference game
Air Force at New Mexico
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 9:30 PM UTC
University Stadium (NM)
Air Force
Mountain West
- Record
- 1-1
- Rating
- -2.8
- National rank
- 81
- Proj. wins
- 6.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
New Mexico
Mountain West
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 4.8
- National rank
- 58
- Proj. wins
- 7.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Air Force
23%
New Mexico
77%
New Mexico 90% CI: 70% – 83% Δ rating 7.6
New Mexico is the model's favorite at 77%. Air Force has a 23% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.2 rating points baked in for New Mexico — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Air Force offense
24 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
New Mexico offense
48 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 9:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- University Stadium (NM)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No