2026 Week 3
New Mexico at Oklahoma
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
New Mexico
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 0.9
- National rank
- 73
- Proj. wins
- 7.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Oklahoma
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 18.3
- National rank
- 14
- Proj. wins
- 7.6
- Playoff prob.
- 27%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
New Mexico
9%
Oklahoma
91%
Oklahoma 90% CI: 88% – 94% Δ rating 17.4
Oklahoma is the model's favorite at 91%. New Mexico has a 9% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.2 rating points baked in for Oklahoma — venue-specific night-game value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
New Mexico offense
28 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Oklahoma offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No