Oklahoma: 2026 Week 3 recap

Oklahoma sits at No. 11 with a 1–0 record and a rating of 18.8, unchanged from last week despite the dominant 51–0 win over UTEP in Week 1. The shutout was comprehensive, but the situational numbers reveal some churn: a red-zone touchdown rate of 18% and third-down conversion rate of 39% suggest Oklahoma didn't always execute in tight spaces, even against an overmatched opponent. GIE projects 7.6 expected wins and gives the team a 25% chance to make the playoff, though conference championship odds sit at just 5%. The real test arrives this week on the road at Michigan, a matchup that will clarify whether Oklahoma's rating holds or shifts.