2026 Week 11 · Conference game
UNLV at New Mexico
Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC
University Stadium (NM)
UNLV
Mountain West
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -3.3
- National rank
- 84
- Proj. wins
- 5.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
New Mexico
Mountain West
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 4.8
- National rank
- 58
- Proj. wins
- 7.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UNLV
22%
New Mexico
78%
New Mexico 90% CI: 71% – 84% Δ rating 8.1
New Mexico is the model's favorite at 78%. UNLV has a 22% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.2 rating points baked in for New Mexico — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UNLV offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
New Mexico offense
43 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC
- Venue
- University Stadium (NM)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No