2026 Week 9 · Conference game
New Mexico at San José State
Friday, October 30, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
CEFCU Stadium
New Mexico
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 0.9
- National rank
- 73
- Proj. wins
- 7.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
San José State
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -14.3
- National rank
- 118
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
New Mexico
85%
San José State
15%
San José State 90% CI: 11% – 21% Δ rating 15.2
New Mexico is the model's favorite at 85%. San José State has a 15% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.4 rating points baked in for San José State — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
New Mexico offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
San José State offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 30, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- CEFCU Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No