Spartans · Mountain West
Year-3 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.10 W vs. preseason expectation
Their playoff probability after a win or a loss in each pivotal game. (Interactive toggles coming once the scenario sim finishes for this team.)
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
22 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
GIE projects a -2.7 rating drop and a -10.8pp shift in playoff probability if San José State loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=1 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
San José State sits at 121st overall with a 1–1 record after an opening-week road win at Eastern Michigan. GIE's rating hasn't budged since last week—they remain at –15.7—which suggests the road victory against a peer-level opponent…
San José State sits at 3–9 with a rating of –14.3, ranked 118th by GIE. The Spartans' most recent outing was a lopsided 41–14 home loss to Fresno State in Week 14, a result that underscores the offensive and defensive struggles that have…
Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
