2026 Week 7 · Conference game
San José State at UTEP
Sunday, October 18, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC
Sun Bowl
San José State
Mountain West
- Record
- 2-2
- Rating
- -13.9
- National rank
- 115
- Proj. wins
- 6.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
UTEP
Mountain West
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -19.7
- National rank
- 129
- Proj. wins
- 5.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
San José State
64%
UTEP
36%
UTEP 90% CI: 28% – 45% Δ rating 5.8
San José State is the model's favorite at 64%. UTEP has a 36% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.3 rating points baked in for UTEP — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
San José State offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
UTEP offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Sunday, October 18, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Sun Bowl
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No