2026 Week 12 · Conference game
UNLV at San José State
Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
CEFCU Stadium
UNLV
Mountain West
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -3.3
- National rank
- 84
- Proj. wins
- 5.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
San José State
Mountain West
- Record
- 2-2
- Rating
- -13.9
- National rank
- 115
- Proj. wins
- 6.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UNLV
76%
San José State
24%
San José State 90% CI: 18% – 31% Δ rating 10.6
UNLV is the model's favorite at 76%. San José State has a 24% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.4 rating points baked in for San José State — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UNLV offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
San José State offense
44 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- CEFCU Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No