2026 Week 10 · Conference game
Northern Illinois at San José State
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
CEFCU Stadium
Northern Illinois
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-3
- Rating
- -19.7
- National rank
- 129
- Proj. wins
- 3.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
San José State
Mountain West
- Record
- 2-2
- Rating
- -13.9
- National rank
- 115
- Proj. wins
- 6.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Northern Illinois
29%
San José State
71%
San José State 90% CI: 63% – 78% Δ rating 5.8
San José State is the model's favorite at 71%. Northern Illinois has a 29% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.4 rating points baked in for San José State — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Northern Illinois offense
30 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
San José State offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- CEFCU Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No