Huskies · Mountain West
Year-1 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.19 W vs. preseason expectation
Their playoff probability after a win or a loss in each pivotal game. (Interactive toggles coming once the scenario sim finishes for this team.)
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
10 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
GIE projects a 8.3 rating drop and a 33.0pp shift in playoff probability if Northern Illinois loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=5 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
Northern Illinois sits at 0–1 after a shutout loss to Iowa in Week 1, with GIE holding the Huskies at a rating of –17.2 and ranked 123rd nationally. The rating has held flat week-to-week, signaling no meaningful recovery in the interim.…
Northern Illinois sits at 3–9 after dropping a close one to Kent State 35–31 at home in Week 14. The Huskies, rated at –16.7 by GIE and ranked 128th nationally, have struggled to find consistent footing this season. That loss to a…
Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
