Huskies · Mountain West
Head coach Rob Harley Year 1 with Northern Illinois
Year-1 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.19 W vs. preseason expectation
No remaining game changes Northern Illinois's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Sep 5 | at Iowa Big Ten | Loss, 0-40 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 12 | vs Illinois State Non-FBS | Loss, 24-28 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 20 | at Arizona Big 12 | Loss, 17-42 Final |
| Wk 4 Sep 26 | at Georgia State Sun Belt | Loss, 14-35 Final |
| Wk 5 | Bye | |
| Wk 6 Oct 10 | vs Air Force Mountain West | Loss, 7-28 Final |
| Wk 7 Oct 17 | at Wyoming Mountain West | Loss, 23-41 Final |
| Wk 8 Oct 24 | vs Hawai'i Mountain West | Loss, 21-56 Final |
| Wk 9 Nov 1 | at UNLV Mountain West | Loss, 24-31 Final |
| Wk 10 Nov 7 | at San José State Mountain West | Loss, 19-30 Final |
| Wk 11 Nov 14 | vs Nevada Mountain West | |
| Wk 12 Nov 21 | at North Dakota State Mountain West | |
| Wk 13 Nov 28 | vs UTEP Mountain West | |
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
GIE projects a 8.3 rating drop and a 33.0pp shift in playoff probability if Northern Illinois loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=5 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)
43 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
−1.2 rating
10 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Taron DickensQB From Western Carolina | Western Carolina | 79 |
| Avery JonesDB From Lafayette | Lafayette | 27 |
| Liam LindoCB From Bryant | Bryant | 22 |
| Marshall WashingtonCB From Long Island University | Long Island University | 19 |
| Kyon ConyersS From Long Island University | Long Island University | 3 |
| Christopher AllenDT From North Carolina A&T | North Carolina A&T | 1 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.
