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2026 Week 3 FINAL

Northern Illinois at Arizona

Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 2:30 AM UTC

Arizona Stadium

17
Northern Illinois
Final
42
Arizona
Team 1234 T
Northern Illinois 10007 17
Arizona 72177 42

GIE pre-game call: Arizona at 98%. Hit.

Recaps

Northern Illinois
Mountain West
Record
0-3
Rating
-19.7
National rank
129
Proj. wins
3.1
Playoff prob.
0%
Arizona
Big 12
Record
2-1
Rating
9.8
National rank
38
Proj. wins
6.0
Playoff prob.
1%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Northern Illinois
2%
Arizona
98%
Arizona 90% CI: 98% – 99% Δ rating 29.5

Arizona is the model's favorite at 98%. Northern Illinois has a 2% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.8 rating points baked in for Arizona — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 2:30 AM UTC
Venue
Arizona Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
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