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2026 Week 1 FINAL

Northern Illinois at Iowa

Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 8:15 PM UTC

Kinnick Stadium

0
Northern Illinois
Final
40
Iowa
Team 1234 T
Northern Illinois 0000 0
Iowa 201370 40

GIE pre-game call: Iowa at 99%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Northern Illinois
Mountain West
Record
0-3
Rating
-19.7
National rank
129
Proj. wins
3.1
Playoff prob.
0%
Iowa
Big Ten
Record
3-0
Rating
17.3
National rank
18
Proj. wins
8.1
Playoff prob.
23%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Northern Illinois
1%
Iowa
99%
Iowa 90% CI: 99% – 100% Δ rating 37.0

Iowa is the model's favorite at 99%. Northern Illinois has a 1% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.7 rating points baked in for Iowa — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 8:15 PM UTC
Venue
Kinnick Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
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