2026 Week 9 · Conference game
Northern Illinois at UNLV
Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 2:30 AM UTC
Allegiant Stadium
Northern Illinois
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-3
- Rating
- -19.7
- National rank
- 129
- Proj. wins
- 3.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
UNLV
Mountain West
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -3.3
- National rank
- 84
- Proj. wins
- 5.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Northern Illinois
10%
UNLV
90%
UNLV 90% CI: 87% – 93% Δ rating 16.4
UNLV is the model's favorite at 90%. Northern Illinois has a 10% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.6 rating points baked in for UNLV — venue-specific learned value (n=29 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Northern Illinois offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
UNLV offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 2:30 AM UTC
- Venue
- Allegiant Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No