2026 Week 9 · Conference game
Northern Illinois at UNLV
Friday, October 30, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Allegiant Stadium
Northern Illinois
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -16.7
- National rank
- 128
- Proj. wins
- 3.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
UNLV
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 4.3
- National rank
- 57
- Proj. wins
- 7.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Northern Illinois
6%
UNLV
94%
UNLV 90% CI: 92% – 96% Δ rating 21.0
UNLV is the model's favorite at 94%. Northern Illinois has a 6% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.6 rating points baked in for UNLV — venue-specific learned value (n=29 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Northern Illinois offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
UNLV offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 30, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Allegiant Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No