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2026 Week 13 · Conference game

UTEP at Northern Illinois

Friday, November 27, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST

Huskie Stadium

UTEP
Mountain West
Record
0-0
Rating
-17.5
National rank
129
Proj. wins
3.7
Playoff prob.
0%
Northern Illinois
Mountain West
Record
0-0
Rating
-16.7
National rank
128
Proj. wins
3.6
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

UTEP
42%
Northern Illinois
58%
Northern Illinois 90% CI: 48% – 66% Δ rating 0.8

Northern Illinois is the model's favorite at 58%. UTEP has a 42% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.6 rating points baked in for Northern Illinois — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

UTEP offense
36 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Northern Illinois offense
32 / 100

Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, November 27, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Venue
Huskie Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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