2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Nevada at Northern Illinois
Friday, November 13, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Huskie Stadium
Nevada
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -13.4
- National rank
- 116
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Northern Illinois
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -16.7
- National rank
- 128
- Proj. wins
- 3.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Nevada
55%
Northern Illinois
45%
Northern Illinois 90% CI: 36% – 54% Δ rating 3.3
Nevada is the model's favorite at 55%. Northern Illinois has a 45% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.6 rating points baked in for Northern Illinois — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Nevada offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Northern Illinois offense
34 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 13, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Huskie Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No