2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Air Force at Northern Illinois
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
Huskie Stadium
Air Force
Mountain West
- Record
- 1-1
- Rating
- -2.8
- National rank
- 81
- Proj. wins
- 6.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Northern Illinois
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-3
- Rating
- -19.7
- National rank
- 129
- Proj. wins
- 3.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Air Force
87%
Northern Illinois
13%
Northern Illinois 90% CI: 9% – 18% Δ rating 16.9
Air Force is the model's favorite at 87%. Northern Illinois has a 13% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.6 rating points baked in for Northern Illinois — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Air Force offense
31 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Northern Illinois offense
45 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Unknown
Temperature
0°F
Precipitation
12%
Wind
0 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Huskie Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No