2026 Week 8 · Conference game
Hawai'i at Northern Illinois
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Huskie Stadium
Hawai'i
Mountain West
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -7.1
- National rank
- 98
- Proj. wins
- 5.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Northern Illinois
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-3
- Rating
- -19.7
- National rank
- 129
- Proj. wins
- 3.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Hawai'i
80%
Northern Illinois
20%
Northern Illinois 90% CI: 15% – 27% Δ rating 12.6
Hawai'i is the model's favorite at 80%. Northern Illinois has a 20% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.6 rating points baked in for Northern Illinois — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Hawai'i offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Northern Illinois offense
34 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Huskie Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No