4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

2026 Week 1

San José State at Eastern Michigan

Thursday, September 3, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT

Rynearson Stadium

San José State
Mountain West
Record
0-0
Rating
-14.3
National rank
118
Proj. wins
4.4
Playoff prob.
0%
Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
Record
0-0
Rating
-14.7
National rank
119
Proj. wins
4.6
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

San José State
53%
Eastern Michigan
47%
Eastern Michigan 90% CI: 38% – 57% Δ rating 0.4

San José State is the model's favorite at 53%. Eastern Michigan has a 47% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.4 rating points baked in for Eastern Michigan — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

San José State offense
45 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Eastern Michigan offense
38 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Thursday, September 3, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Rynearson Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No

← Home