2026 Week 1 FINAL
San José State at USC
Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
26
San José State
Final
42
USC
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San José State | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 26 |
| USC | 7 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 42 |
GIE pre-game call: USC at 99%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
San José State
Mountain West
- Record
- 2-2
- Rating
- -13.9
- National rank
- 115
- Proj. wins
- 6.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
USC
Big Ten
- Record
- 4-0
- Rating
- 21.6
- National rank
- 8
- Proj. wins
- 8.6
- Playoff prob.
- 43%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
San José State
1%
USC
99%
USC 90% CI: 99% – 99% Δ rating 35.5
USC is the model's favorite at 99%. San José State has a 1% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for USC — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No