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2026 Week 3 FINAL

Fresno State at San José State

Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 3:00 AM UTC

CEFCU Stadium

26
Fresno State
Final
10
San José State
Team 1234 T
Fresno State 06713 26
San José State 3007 10

GIE pre-game call: Fresno State at 82%. Hit.

Recaps

Fresno State
Pac-12
Record
2-1
Rating
-0.4
National rank
71
Proj. wins
7.2
Playoff prob.
5%
San José State
Mountain West
Record
2-2
Rating
-13.9
National rank
115
Proj. wins
6.5
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Fresno State
82%
San José State
18%
San José State 90% CI: 13% – 24% Δ rating 13.5

Fresno State is the model's favorite at 82%. San José State has a 18% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.4 rating points baked in for San José State — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 3:00 AM UTC
Venue
CEFCU Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
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