San José State sits at 121st overall with a 1–1 record after an opening-week road win at Eastern Michigan. GIE's rating hasn't budged since last week—they remain at –15.7—which suggests the road victory against a peer-level opponent landed exactly where the model expected. The concerning detail underneath: a 15% red-zone touchdown rate and 41% third-down conversion efficiency point to execution problems in high-leverage situations. With an expected-win total around 5, the Spartans are tracking toward a below-.500 season. Cal Poly visits this week, a spot where San José State should find traction, but the offensive consistency issues will need visible improvement to build any real momentum in Mountain West play.