2026 Week 13 · Conference game
North Dakota State at San José State
Friday, November 27, 2026 · 8:30 PM UTC
CEFCU Stadium
North Dakota State
Mountain West
- Record
- 4-0
- Rating
- 10.6
- National rank
- 35
- Proj. wins
- 10.2
- Playoff prob.
- 58%
San José State
Mountain West
- Record
- 2-2
- Rating
- -13.9
- National rank
- 115
- Proj. wins
- 6.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
North Dakota State
95%
San José State
5%
San José State 90% CI: 4% – 7% Δ rating 24.5
North Dakota State is the model's favorite at 95%. San José State has a 5% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.4 rating points baked in for San José State — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
North Dakota State offense
31 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
San José State offense
29 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 27, 2026 · 8:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- CEFCU Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No