2026 Week 8 · Conference game
San José State at Nevada
Friday, October 23, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Mackay Stadium
San José State
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -14.3
- National rank
- 118
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Nevada
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -13.4
- National rank
- 116
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
San José State
33%
Nevada
67%
Nevada 90% CI: 59% – 75% Δ rating 0.9
Nevada is the model's favorite at 67%. San José State has a 33% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.8 rating points baked in for Nevada — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
San José State offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Nevada offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 23, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Mackay Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No