2026 Week 8 · Conference game
North Dakota State at New Mexico
Friday, October 23, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
University Stadium (NM)
North Dakota State
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- —
- National rank
- —
- Proj. wins
- 7.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
New Mexico
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 0.9
- National rank
- 73
- Proj. wins
- 7.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
North Dakota State
50%
New Mexico
50%
New Mexico 90% CI: 50% – 50% Δ rating 0.9
New Mexico is the model's favorite at 50%. North Dakota State has a 50% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.2 rating points baked in for New Mexico — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
North Dakota State offense
30 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
New Mexico offense
25 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 23, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- University Stadium (NM)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No