2026 Week 12 · Conference game
New Mexico at Wyoming
Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 2:00 AM UTC
War Memorial Stadium
New Mexico
Mountain West
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 4.8
- National rank
- 58
- Proj. wins
- 7.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Wyoming
Mountain West
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -15.0
- National rank
- 118
- Proj. wins
- 4.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
New Mexico
85%
Wyoming
15%
Wyoming 90% CI: 11% – 20% Δ rating 19.8
New Mexico is the model's favorite at 85%. Wyoming has a 15% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.7 rating points baked in for Wyoming — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
New Mexico offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Wyoming offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 2:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- War Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No