2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Utah State at San Diego State
Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 2:30 AM UTC
Snapdragon Stadium
Utah State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-3
- Rating
- -9.3
- National rank
- 106
- Proj. wins
- 2.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
San Diego State
Pac-12
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -2.5
- National rank
- 78
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Utah State
26%
San Diego State
74%
San Diego State 90% CI: 67% – 81% Δ rating 6.8
San Diego State is the model's favorite at 74%. Utah State has a 26% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.7 rating points baked in for San Diego State — venue-specific learned value (n=22 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Utah State offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
San Diego State offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 2:30 AM UTC
- Venue
- Snapdragon Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No