2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Utah State at San Diego State
Friday, November 13, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Snapdragon Stadium
Utah State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -3.1
- National rank
- 79
- Proj. wins
- 4.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
San Diego State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 6.7
- National rank
- 43
- Proj. wins
- 7.1
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Utah State
19%
San Diego State
81%
San Diego State 90% CI: 74% – 86% Δ rating 9.8
San Diego State is the model's favorite at 81%. Utah State has a 19% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.7 rating points baked in for San Diego State — venue-specific learned value (n=22 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Utah State offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
San Diego State offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 13, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Snapdragon Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No