2026 Week 7 · Conference game
Alabama at Tennessee
Friday, October 16, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Neyland Stadium
Alabama
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 14.8
- National rank
- 20
- Proj. wins
- 6.9
- Playoff prob.
- 10%
Tennessee
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 15.0
- National rank
- 19
- Proj. wins
- 7.3
- Playoff prob.
- 10%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Alabama
49%
Tennessee
51%
Tennessee 90% CI: 42% – 60% Δ rating 0.2
Tennessee is the model's favorite at 51%. Alabama has a 49% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.2 rating points baked in for Tennessee — venue-specific learned value (n=61 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Alabama offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Tennessee offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 16, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Neyland Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No