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2026 Week 10 · Conference game

Kentucky at Tennessee

Friday, November 6, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST

Neyland Stadium

Kentucky
SEC
Record
0-0
Rating
1.8
National rank
66
Proj. wins
4.5
Playoff prob.
0%
Tennessee
SEC
Record
0-0
Rating
15.0
National rank
19
Proj. wins
7.3
Playoff prob.
10%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Kentucky
16%
Tennessee
84%
Tennessee 90% CI: 79% – 89% Δ rating 13.2

Tennessee is the model's favorite at 84%. Kentucky has a 16% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.2 rating points baked in for Tennessee — venue-specific learned value (n=61 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Kentucky offense
40 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Tennessee offense
38 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, November 6, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Venue
Neyland Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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