2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Tennessee at Arkansas
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Razorback Stadium
Tennessee
SEC
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 20.2
- National rank
- 10
- Proj. wins
- 8.8
- Playoff prob.
- 54%
Arkansas
SEC
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -0.3
- National rank
- 70
- Proj. wins
- 3.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Tennessee
94%
Arkansas
6%
Arkansas 90% CI: 4% – 8% Δ rating 20.5
Tennessee is the model's favorite at 94%. Arkansas has a 6% path. Home-field adjustment of +-1.7 rating points baked in for Arkansas — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Tennessee offense
46 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Arkansas offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Partly cloudy
Temperature
47°F
Precipitation
8%
Wind
4 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Razorback Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No