2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Tennessee at Arkansas
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Razorback Stadium
Tennessee
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 15.0
- National rank
- 19
- Proj. wins
- 7.3
- Playoff prob.
- 10%
Arkansas
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.1
- National rank
- 53
- Proj. wins
- 4.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Tennessee
81%
Arkansas
19%
Arkansas 90% CI: 14% – 25% Δ rating 9.9
Tennessee is the model's favorite at 81%. Arkansas has a 19% path. Home-field adjustment of +-1.7 rating points baked in for Arkansas — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Tennessee offense
46 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Arkansas offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Razorback Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No