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2026 Week 11 · Conference game

Tennessee at Texas A&M

Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC

Kyle Field

Tennessee
SEC
Record
3-0
Rating
20.2
National rank
10
Proj. wins
8.8
Playoff prob.
54%
Texas A&M
SEC
Record
2-1
Rating
18.3
National rank
14
Proj. wins
6.3
Playoff prob.
1%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Tennessee
51%
Texas A&M
49%
Texas A&M 90% CI: 40% – 58% Δ rating 1.9

Tennessee is the model's favorite at 51%. Texas A&M has a 49% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.6 rating points baked in for Texas A&M — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Tennessee offense
38 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Texas A&M offense
40 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Venue
Kyle Field
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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