2026 Week 3
Kennesaw State at Tennessee
Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Neyland Stadium
Kennesaw State
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -5.4
- National rank
- 89
- Proj. wins
- 0.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Tennessee
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 15.0
- National rank
- 19
- Proj. wins
- 7.3
- Playoff prob.
- 10%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Kennesaw State
7%
Tennessee
93%
Tennessee 90% CI: 90% – 95% Δ rating 20.4
Tennessee is the model's favorite at 93%. Kennesaw State has a 7% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.2 rating points baked in for Tennessee — venue-specific learned value (n=61 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Kennesaw State offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Tennessee offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Neyland Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No