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2026 Week 6 · Conference game

Ole Miss at Vanderbilt

Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC

FirstBank Stadium

Ole Miss
SEC
Record
3-0
Rating
15.6
National rank
20
Proj. wins
7.7
Playoff prob.
16%
Vanderbilt
SEC
Record
3-0
Rating
9.7
National rank
39
Proj. wins
7.5
Playoff prob.
15%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Ole Miss
58%
Vanderbilt
42%
Vanderbilt 90% CI: 33% – 51% Δ rating 5.9

Ole Miss is the model's favorite at 58%. Vanderbilt has a 42% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.2 rating points baked in for Vanderbilt — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Ole Miss offense
36 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Vanderbilt offense
35 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Conditions
Clear
Temperature
48°F
Precipitation
3%
Wind
2 mph

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Venue
FirstBank Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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