Conference game
USC at Penn State
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 7:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 USC Winner | 7 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 31 |
 Penn State | 7 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 |
GIE pre-game call: USC at 52%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
USC 52% Favorite
Penn State 48% Underdog
USC is the model's favorite at 52%. Penn State has a 48% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.9 rating points baked in for Penn State — venue-specific night-game value (n=63 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.