Aztecs · Pac-12
Head coach Sean Lewis Year 3 with San Diego State
Year-3 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.10 W vs. preseason expectation
No remaining game changes San Diego State's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Sep 6 | vs Portland State Non-FBS | Win, 53-20 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 12 | at UCLA Big Ten | Loss, 10-28 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 20 | vs James Madison Sun Belt | Loss, 13-26 Final |
| Wk 4 Sep 26 | at Toledo Mid-American | Loss, 16-41 Final |
| Wk 5 Oct 4 | vs Texas State Pac-12 | Win, 31-29 Final |
| Wk 6 Oct 10 | at Oregon State Pac-12 | Loss, 14-66 Final |
| Wk 7 Oct 18 | vs Fresno State Pac-12 | Win, 26-23 Final |
| Wk 8 Oct 24 | at Colorado State Pac-12 | Loss, 49-56 Final |
| Wk 9 Oct 31 | vs Washington State Pac-12 | Win, 26-20 Final |
| Wk 10 | Bye | |
| Wk 11 Nov 15 | vs Utah State Pac-12 | |
| Wk 12 Nov 22 | at Boise State Pac-12 | |
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
GIE projects a -2.1 rating drop and a -8.5pp shift in playoff probability if San Diego State loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=1 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)
75 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
−0.6 rating
24 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Jalen ThomesonS From Ohio | Ohio | 146 |
| Aldrich DoeWR From Bryant | Bryant | 43 |
| Javion KinnardRB From Colorado State | Colorado State | 40 |
| Kai WallinLB From Oregon State | Oregon State | 38 |
| Jason OliverCB From Sacramento State | Sacramento State | 32 |
| Djibril Abdou RahmanDL From Rutgers | Rutgers | 29 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.
