2026 Week 2
San Diego State at UCLA
Friday, September 11, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Rose Bowl
San Diego State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 6.7
- National rank
- 43
- Proj. wins
- 7.1
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
UCLA
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -8.7
- National rank
- 98
- Proj. wins
- 3.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
San Diego State
84%
UCLA
16%
UCLA 90% CI: 12% – 22% Δ rating 15.4
San Diego State is the model's favorite at 84%. UCLA has a 16% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.2 rating points baked in for UCLA — venue-specific learned value (n=60 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
San Diego State offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
UCLA offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 11, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Rose Bowl
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No