2026 Week 3 FINAL
James Madison at San Diego State
Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 2:00 AM UTC
Snapdragon Stadium
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison | 10 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 26 |
| San Diego State | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
GIE pre-game call: James Madison at 71%. Hit.
Recaps
- San Diego State recap
San Diego State: 2026 Week 3 recap
San Diego State sits at 65th nationally with a 1–0 record after demolishing Portland State 53–20 in Week 1, though GIE's rating held steady at 0.7, suggesting the model views that margin as expected rather than transformative. The Aztecs'…
- James Madison recap
James Madison: 2026 Week 3 recap
James Madison sits at 1–0 after a 20–13 Week 1 win over Liberty, holding a rating of –0.9 and ranked 70th by GIE. The rating hasn't budged week-over-week, reflecting a Dukes offense still finding its rhythm: a red-zone touchdown rate of…
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 6.2
- National rank
- 50
- Proj. wins
- 9.3
- Playoff prob.
- 45%
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -2.5
- National rank
- 78
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
James Madison is the model's favorite at 71%. San Diego State has a 29% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.7 rating points baked in for San Diego State — venue-specific learned value (n=22 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 2:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Snapdragon Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No