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2026 Week 9 · Conference game

Washington State at San Diego State

Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC

Snapdragon Stadium

Washington State
Pac-12
Record
1-2
Rating
-5.6
National rank
88
Proj. wins
4.7
Playoff prob.
0%
San Diego State
Pac-12
Record
1-2
Rating
-2.5
National rank
78
Proj. wins
4.4
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Washington State
35%
San Diego State
65%
San Diego State 90% CI: 56% – 73% Δ rating 3.1

San Diego State is the model's favorite at 65%. Washington State has a 35% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.7 rating points baked in for San Diego State — venue-specific learned value (n=22 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Washington State offense
32 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

San Diego State offense
32 / 100

Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Venue
Snapdragon Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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