2026 Week 8 · Conference game
San Diego State at Colorado State
Friday, October 23, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Canvas Stadium
San Diego State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 6.7
- National rank
- 43
- Proj. wins
- 7.1
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Colorado State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -15.6
- National rank
- 124
- Proj. wins
- 2.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
San Diego State
93%
Colorado State
7%
Colorado State 90% CI: 5% – 10% Δ rating 22.3
San Diego State is the model's favorite at 93%. Colorado State has a 7% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.3 rating points baked in for Colorado State — venue-specific learned value (n=43 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
San Diego State offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Colorado State offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 23, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Canvas Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No