2026 Week 6 · Conference game
San Diego State at Oregon State
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC
Reser Stadium
San Diego State
Pac-12
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -2.5
- National rank
- 78
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Oregon State
Pac-12
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -2.5
- National rank
- 78
- Proj. wins
- 5.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
San Diego State
38%
Oregon State
62%
Oregon State 90% CI: 53% – 70% Δ rating 0.0
Oregon State is the model's favorite at 62%. San Diego State has a 38% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.9 rating points baked in for Oregon State — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
San Diego State offense
33 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Oregon State offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Unknown
Temperature
0°F
Precipitation
6%
Wind
0 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Reser Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No