Pirates · American Athletic
Head coach Blake Harrell Year 2 with East Carolina
Year-2 HCs (2015-2024) averaged +0.09 W vs. preseason expectation
No remaining game changes East Carolina's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Sep 5 | at Alabama SEC | Loss, 10-48 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 12 | vs App State Sun Belt | Loss, 24-27 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 19 | at Old Dominion Sun Belt | Win, 20-17 Final |
| Wk 4 Sep 26 | vs North Carolina Central Non-FBS | Win, 42-9 Final |
| Wk 5 | Bye | |
| Wk 6 Oct 10 | vs Rice American Athletic | Win, 28-12 Final |
| Wk 7 Oct 15 | at UAB American Athletic | Loss, 17-30 Final |
| Wk 8 Oct 22 | at Memphis American Athletic | Loss, 34-41 Final |
| Wk 9 Oct 31 | vs Temple American Athletic | Win, 17-9 Final |
| Wk 10 Nov 7 | vs South Florida American Athletic | Win, 20-17 Final |
| Wk 11 Nov 14 | at Charlotte American Athletic | |
| Wk 12 Nov 21 | at Army American Athletic | |
| Wk 13 Nov 27 | vs Florida Atlantic American Athletic | |
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
GIE projects a -0.8 rating drop and a -3.4pp shift in playoff probability if East Carolina loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=1 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)
27 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
−0.3 rating
23 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Zyeir GambleDB From App State | App State | 131 |
| Landon SidesWR From North Texas | North Texas | 82 |
| Michael AllenRB From Marshall | Marshall | 73 |
| Kanen HamlettTE From App State | App State | 56 |
| Ashton GrayRB From North Texas | North Texas | 54 |
| Ja'Keith HamiltonWR From Furman | Furman | 50 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.
