2026 Week 11 · Conference game
East Carolina at Charlotte
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Jerry Richardson Stadium
East Carolina
American Athletic
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -5.6
- National rank
- 88
- Proj. wins
- 5.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Charlotte
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-3
- Rating
- -24.1
- National rank
- 135
- Proj. wins
- 3.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
East Carolina
90%
Charlotte
10%
Charlotte 90% CI: 7% – 13% Δ rating 18.5
East Carolina is the model's favorite at 90%. Charlotte has a 10% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.5 rating points baked in for Charlotte — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
East Carolina offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Charlotte offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Jerry Richardson Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No