2026 Week 11 · Conference game
East Carolina at Charlotte
Friday, November 13, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Jerry Richardson Stadium
East Carolina
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 8.0
- National rank
- 38
- Proj. wins
- 8.0
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
Charlotte
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -26.7
- National rank
- 134
- Proj. wins
- 1.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
East Carolina
99%
Charlotte
1%
Charlotte 90% CI: 1% – 2% Δ rating 34.7
East Carolina is the model's favorite at 99%. Charlotte has a 1% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.5 rating points baked in for Charlotte — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
East Carolina offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Charlotte offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 13, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Jerry Richardson Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No