2026 Week 13 · Conference game
Florida Atlantic at East Carolina
Thursday, November 26, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Florida Atlantic
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -8.7
- National rank
- 98
- Proj. wins
- 4.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
East Carolina
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 8.0
- National rank
- 38
- Proj. wins
- 8.0
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Florida Atlantic
8%
East Carolina
92%
East Carolina 90% CI: 89% – 94% Δ rating 16.7
East Carolina is the model's favorite at 92%. Florida Atlantic has a 8% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for East Carolina — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Florida Atlantic offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
East Carolina offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Thursday, November 26, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No