2026 Week 12 · Conference game
East Carolina at Army
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC
Michie Stadium
East Carolina
American Athletic
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -5.6
- National rank
- 88
- Proj. wins
- 5.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Army
American Athletic
- Record
- 1-1
- Rating
- 0.2
- National rank
- 68
- Proj. wins
- 6.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
East Carolina
30%
Army
70%
Army 90% CI: 62% – 77% Δ rating 5.8
Army is the model's favorite at 70%. East Carolina has a 30% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.0 rating points baked in for Army — venue-specific learned value (n=43 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
East Carolina offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Army offense
24 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Michie Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No