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Army

Black Knights · American Athletic

GIE rank
#66
of 138 FBS
Rating
1558
2026 Week 12
Record
5-4
2026 season
Proj record
7-5
12-game season

Head coach Jeff Monken

Season projection

2026 W12 · 10,000 sims
Expected wins
7.1
2.1 more wins in 3 left
Win range (90%)
6 to 8
Final rank (90%)
#64 (52–79)
Make playoff
0%
Win conference
0%

Path to glory

No remaining game changes Army's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%

Schedule

Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Schedule and results
Week Opponent Result or win prob.Result or win probability
Wk 1 Sep 5 vs Bryant Non-FBS Win, 59-3 Final
Wk 2 Sep 12 vs South Florida American Athletic Loss, 24-28 Final
Wk 3 Bye
Wk 4 Sep 25 at Temple American Athletic Win, 21-17 Final
Wk 5 Oct 3 at Louisiana Tech Sun Belt Loss, 29-31 Final
Wk 6 Oct 10 vs Tulane American Athletic Win, 20-17 Final
Wk 7 Oct 17 vs Florida Atlantic American Athletic Win, 56-24 Final
Wk 8 Oct 24 at Tulsa American Athletic Win, 38-35 Final
Wk 9 Nov 1 at Memphis American Athletic Loss, 22-49 Final
Wk 10 Nov 8 vs Air Force Mountain West Loss, 21-24 Final
Wk 11 Bye
Wk 12 Nov 21 vs East Carolina American Athletic Win probability: 60%
Wk 13 Nov 28 at Rice American Athletic Win probability: 81%
Wk 14 Bye
Wk 15 Dec 12 vs Navy American Athletic · neutral Win probability: 53%

Latest stories

  • Recap

    Army: 2026 Week 12 recap

    Army's late-season collapse continues. After a three-point home loss to Air Force in Week 10, the Black Knights have plummeted from a rating of 1 to -2.1, a stunning -3.1-point swing that dropped them to rank 79 nationally. At 5-4,…

  • Recap

    Army: 2026 Week 11 recap

    Army sits at 5–3 after a 49–22 loss at Memphis in Week 9, a result that underscored ongoing offensive struggles. The Black Knights' rating hasn't budged week-to-week, holding steady at 66th overall. GIE projects 7.7 expected wins for the…

  • Recap

    Army: 2026 Week 7 recap

    Army sits at 2–2 with a rating of –0.8, ranked 72nd, after dropping a close one to Louisiana Tech 31–29 in Week 5. The Black Knights' rating hasn't budged since last week, suggesting the model saw that result coming—a narrow road loss…

Show 2 more Army stories
  • Recap

    Army: 2026 Week 3 recap

    Army sits at 81st overall after a dominant 59–3 home win over Bryant in Week 1—a statement of offensive firepower that masks deeper concerns. The rating hasn't budged since that blowout, a sign GIE sees the competition level as a poor…

  • Recap

    Army: 2025 Week 16 recap

    Army sits at 7–6 after a heartbreaking 17–16 loss to Navy in Week 16, dropping them to a GIE rating of 0.8 and a ranking of 74th. The one-point defeat marks a brutal finish to what had been a competitive stretch, leaving the Black Knights…

In the news

Show 9 more headlines

More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.

If QB1 is out

Cale Hellums

GIE projects a -0.2 rating drop and a -0.7pp shift in playoff probability if Army loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=1 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)

Returning production · 2026

81 score

  • Quarterback 100% (6/8)
  • Offensive line 92% (33/36) players
  • Skill (RB/WR/TE) 48% (38/43)
  • Front 7 (DL/LB) 69% (43/46)
  • Secondary 72% (23/29)
  • Special teams 100% (15/15)

Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.

Situational efficiency · 2025

FBS percentile rank
  • 3rd-down conversion 42.0%
    81th — strong
  • Red-zone TD rate 14.5%
    48th — average
  • 4th-down aggression 64.0%
    98th — elite
  • Late & close 5.2 yds/play
    54th — average

Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.